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In 1982, Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley was poised to become the first African-American governor in history, leading his rival by 9 points or higher by some estimates. Come election day, he lost the race -- giving birth to the so-called Bradley Effect phenomenon. The question in 2008 is whether such an effect may be over-inflating Senator Obama's lead over John McCain in pre-election polls showing him leading by an average of 8 points. What historical trends and recent research on race as a factor--not to mention the record number of new registrations -- lead us to believe is that the Bradley Effect will not be a factor against Senator Obama in the outcome of this election. Furthermore, the so-called Facebook Effect may mean a net-gain for the Senator from Illinois.
With the third and final Presidential Debate behind us it is clear that while none of the candidates delivered the knockout punch, Barack Obama did emerge as victorious in all of the three debates.
Welcome to The Collegian's blog about the final 2008 presidential debate. This is the fifth live blog for The Collegian during the election.
In the midst of the greatest economic crisis since the Great Depression, the conservative base has had the same old knee-jerk reaction as years past: outdated and just plain wrong. John McCain said last week on the stump, in more or less words, "...the quickest way to turn a recession into a depression is by raising taxes." It's time that the Republicans grow up out of their Reagan-esque image of the world. First of all, Barack Obama will not raise taxes on 95% PERCENT OF ALL AMERICANS. John McCain and the average Bill O'Reily follower who regurgitates talking points likes to argue, "Barack Obama will raise your taxes." Well, no matter how many times you lie, it's not going to be true, but the sad part is that some Americans start to believe this non-sense. Well I'm here to say, you can lead a horse to water but you can't make it drink. The American people are tired of these gutter politics. Has anyone else noticed how much race has crept up in the past weeks? Every news channel, especially Fox news, is posing the question: "Is American ready for a black president?" At McCain rallies people are yelling out "terrorist" and "kill him" when Obama is referenced. Granted, McCain did confront a supporter hinting at this garbage a few day's ago, but it's clear he's doing the bare minimum to prevent this election from getting dirty, and ultimately doing very little to keep this country from becoming bitterly divided. Do we want our next president to embrace erratic, child-like, and capricious leadership tactics?
A University of Richmond senior has recently embarked on an ambitious endeavor: ending world hunger.
This update includes the USA Today-Gallup poll results.
Online managing editor Kimberly Leonard and online reporter David Larter will be live-blogging during the vice presidential debate from Whitehurst Living Room, beginning just before the debate's 9 p.m. EDT scheduled start.
While none of the presidential candidates, John McCain and Barack Obama, delivered the KO, the first Presidential Debate did sharpen the contrast between the two and gave Obama an edge on not just the economy, but also foreign policy and national security -- considered by many to be John McCain's strong points.
While Senator McCain made it clear that he wasn't winning any awards for "Mr. Congeniality", and he may need a new hire to pick out his ties, when the debate moved to foreign policy 45 minutes in, things finally got interesting. Initially the moderator, Lehrer, focused a large amount of time on the economy. Now while I see the merit in doing so, with such a great deal of national attention on the issue - this debate is supposed to be about foreign policy.
Welcome to The Collegian's Live-Blog! Feel free to add commentary about the debate.
The blog recently posted with the title "Battlefield Shifts to the Economy" may seem factually sound and intellectually logical on the surface; but the underlying argument beneath the complicated tax talk is false. The following is a rough outline of how the argument veered off track.
A response to "What Are the Issues?" (Opinion, Thursday, Sept. 18, 2008)
The financial crisis, which the Wall Street Journal described today as the worst economic hit since the early 1930s, is beginning to drastically change the tide of presidential campaigns.
This morning on ABC's "Good Morning America," Sen. Joe Biden confidently asserted that the wealthiest Americans need to pay more taxes, and not only that, but that doing so is PATRIOTIC. They already shoulder a significant portion of the nation's tax burden, yet Obama and company are demanding more. Why do they plan to introduce more capital gains taxes, windfall profit taxes, and many others? Well, quite simply, to redistribute the wealth.
There is no question that during his lifetime John McCain has put his country first, something all Americans can agree upon, respect, and admire. In fact, he has made this the central theme of his campaign: Country first.
John McCain's campaign released a new web ad accusing Democratic Presidential Nominee, Senator Obama, of referring to the Republican VP Nominee, Sarah Palin, when he said: "You can put lipstick on a pig, it's still a pig."
Come on McCain! With so many better things to attack Obama on, you choose his comment about lipstick on a pig? Drop the puerile political games. You're trying a little too hard, and nobody's buying your tomfoolery.
An emerging issue in the Presidential Race is the debate about how to reduce our reliance on foreign oil and hence reduce the price of gas at the pump. McCain and the Republican party have been gaining traction with the theme, "Drill here, drill now." And for the most part, Americans tend to agree. Sensing popular support, the Right has been milking the issue, calling that Congress be reinstated to help Americans with the price of oil and other purely political moves designed to press the issue rather than solve it.
[gallery]Whether the outcome of the November Presidential election comes down to the 13 Electoral College votes of the Commonwealth of Virginia or not, the voters in this state are poised to make history -- and perhaps in more than one way. While not the most coveted voting bloc, the Youth Vote could tilt the balance in the state that has not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since LBJ in 1964.
Party conventions are held in order to energize and unify the party and frame the issues for the general election campaign. So, it is not surprising that both major party candidates have repositioned their messages to strengthen their case with voters. Change. Change is the driving issue in this campaign. Obama has always been about change, but "change" for Obama used to be about changing our politics, i.e. moving beyond partisanship, AND changing party control of the White House from Republican to Democratic. Now, he is focused almost exclusively on the latter message. Gone is the inspiring vision of post-partisan politics; the focus now is to attach McCain to Bush and advance a traditionally Democratic agenda. The appointment of Joe Biden as his running mate is further evidence that he wants to mobilize his base and appeal to the lower income, union voters who supported Hillary Clinton. McCain, on the other hand, whose pre-convention message essentially boiled down to experience, i.e. Obama is "not ready to lead," has shifted to a new message of change, i.e. reforming Washington. By selecting Palin, he has essentially conceded the issue of experience, and his campaign speech was decidedly focused on changing the politics in Washington ... post-partisanship. This theme might ring a bill to Obama supporters who voted for him over the more "partisan" Hillary Clinton.